Ambjörn Naeve on Provocative Modelling

Ambjörn Naeve held a seminar on Provocative Modelling on 12 February. Ambjörn is presently a guest lecturer at DSV. Here follows Ambjörn’s summary and documentation of the seminar.

Provocative Modeling is a term that I came up with a while ago to describe models that provoke “engagement by disagreement” by exposing controversial ideas, beliefs and assumptions – often called prejudice. Since we can process only up to about 30 bits per second in our conscious mind, while we are at the same time receiving about 3 million bits per second through our senses, this information needs to be compressed about 100.000 times before we can deal with it on the conscious level. Hence, without pre-judging there can be no effective judging, and therefore it is not an option to be without prejudice. The question is only which prejudices you have. Also, by exposing your underlying beliefs and assumptions related to an issue, they become visible and therefore amenable to change. This is what Peter Senge calls Mental Modeling (, which is one of the five disciplines of organizational learning ( my talk I will display (what I think is) some of my more “provocative models” on terrorism, religion, gender, education, economics, and promotion strategies within a large organization. These models have been developed in our modeling tool Conzilla ( and the links to the presented models will be made available for the participants.

Some slides on Disagreement Management:
Ambjorn on Disagreement Management (Innsbruck, Febr 2009), Slideshare:

In order to navigate the Conzilla-URLs below, you must first download Conzilla. Point your web browser to and click ’Download’ (to the left) and then ’Launch’ (under Conzilla 2.2 at the top of the page).

Below are the Conzilla-URLs for the maps that I discussed during my talk – and for some other ones that are related. Remember that these “Conzilla-URLs” have to be copied and pasted into the Conzilla address window (called Context-Map URI). To learn how to navigate Conzilla maps, go to

Here are the Conzilla-URLs for:

the models that I discussed in my talk:

Terrorism (Dialogue map – Compendium-style):

Religious Interoperability (ULM style):

Discriminator questions (Decision tree style):

Large Bureaucracies (Systems modeling style):

Penetrating the Glass Ceiling (Systems modeling style):

Militarism-Terrorism (Peter Senge, The 5th Discipline) (mixture of ULM + Systems modeling styles):

Shifting the Burden (The 5th Discipline , Systems modeling style):

Workload-Stress-Alcohol (Peter Senge, The 5th Discipline) (Systems modeling style):

Gender modeling (ULM + mathematical style):

The Financial Crisis (Systems modeling style):

models that are related – but were not discussed in my talk:

Knowledge Emulation (ULM style):

Globalization (ULM style):

Global Climate Change (Peter Senge) (Systems modeling style):

The Stock Market (ULM style):

Soros’ Boom-Bust model (Special style):

Political power systems – the Cracy Ontology (ULM style):

Ideologies (Timeline style):

Selfish and Unselfish Knowledge (ULM style):

Swedish Asylum Policy (Process modeling style):

Corporate Greed (Systems modeling style):

Aiding Africa – corruption of foreign aid (Systems modeling style):

Advertise-Consume (ULM style):

Mass(age) media (ULM style):

Automatization by Computers (ULM style):

Automatization and LifeLong Learning (ULM style):

Problem – Solution (Systems modeling style):

Problem – Solution applied to crime (Systems modeling style)::

Problem – Solution applied to early mathematics education (Systems modeling style):

Problem – Solution applied to academic mathematics education (Systems modeling style):


About Paul Johannesson

I am a professor at the department of Computer and Systems Sciences at Stockholm University. My research area is information systems. My homepage
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